Match Info

Date: 13 November 2020, Friday


	Portuguesa		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	1.8
	4.2	3.05	1.8
	4.5	3.2	1.74
	4.6	3.06	1.73
	4.33	3.2	1.8
	4.4	3.48	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (2.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	1.78 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
20.8%

Draw
28.3%

Deportivo Táchira
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.7%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

20.7%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Táchira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Portuguesa - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).

Recent matches Portuguesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Táchira in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Táchira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo Táchira is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.11.20	Monagas - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
05.11.20	Portuguesa - Zamora	2:1 ✺
02.11.20	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
30.10.20	Aragua - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Portuguesa - Gran Valencia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLT
- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.11.20	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
06.11.20	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Zamora - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
29.10.20	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Monagas - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
21.09.19	Portuguesa - Deportivo Táchira	0:2
31.03.19	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa	3:1
23.09.18	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa	3:0
09.04.18	Portuguesa - Deportivo Táchira	0:0
15.07.17	Portuguesa - Deportivo Táchira	0:1
24.03.17	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa	1:1
17.09.16	Portuguesa - Deportivo Táchira	3:1

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