Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez (Maracay)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Aragua		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
	4	2.8	1.95	Watch
	4	2.95	1.85
	3.85	2.9	1.98
	3.75	2.61	1.97
	3.9	2.88	2
	3.92	3.08	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.58)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	1.97 (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragua
23%

Draw
31.3%

Deportivo Táchira
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

28.3%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Aragua - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aragua will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Táchira: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aragua won 2.

Recent matches Aragua is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Táchira is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Deportivo Táchira is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Aragua won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Aragua won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.05.22	Aragua - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Metropolitanos - Aragua	1:1 ✺
12.05.22	Aragua - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	Monagas - Aragua	3:1 ✺
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWLT
- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.05.22	Deportivo Táchira - Monagas	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.22	Palmeiras - Deportivo Táchira	4:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.05.22	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.05.22	Deportivo Táchira - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.05.22	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
04.12.20	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	1:1
09.11.20	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	0:1
08.02.20	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0
02.11.19	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:2
12.05.19	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	1:2
17.10.18	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	3:1
05.05.18	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:1

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