Match Info

Date: 30 October 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Aragua		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.75
	2.55	2.55	2.95
	2.6	2.76	2.74
	2.75	2.75	2.7
	2.56	3.02	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.75)	2.78 ↓ (3.5)	2.8 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragua
34.9%

Draw
32.7%

Portuguesa
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

26%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aragua's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	12%	68%

Aragua - Portuguesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Aragua will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Portuguesa will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portuguesa: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Aragua will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Aragua won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Aragua won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.10.20	Metropolitanos - Aragua	2:2 ✺
06.03.20	Aragua - Caracas	0:1 ✺
22.02.20	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.02.20	Aragua - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.02.20	Zamora - Aragua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL
- Portuguesa SP
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.10.20	Portuguesa - Gran Valencia	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.09.20	Portuguesa - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
07.09.20	Piracicaba - Portuguesa	3:2 ✺
30.08.20	Red Bull Brasil - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
26.08.20	Portuguesa - CA Juventus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
25.09.19	Aragua - Portuguesa	1:0
03.04.19	Portuguesa - Aragua	1:1
21.07.18	Aragua - Portuguesa	1:0
28.01.18	Portuguesa - Aragua	1:0
10.09.17	Portuguesa - Aragua	4:1
01.04.17	Aragua - Portuguesa	1:1
16.07.16	Aragua - Portuguesa	0:0

Aragua - Portuguesa