Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Portuguesa		Marília

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.6
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.97	3	3.85
	2.01	3.1	4.2
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.98	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.01)	3.08 ↑ (3.04)	3.88 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
46.6%

Draw
29.8%

Marília
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Portuguesa - Marília Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Marília will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Portuguesa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marília is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista
17.09.22	Desportivo Brasil - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Portuguesa - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Portuguesa - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa	3:2 ✺
20.08.22	Portuguesa - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTLT
- Marília AC
Brazilian Copa Paulista
18.09.22	Marília - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	EC Noroeste - Marília	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Botafogo SP - Marília	1:3 ✺
20.08.22	Marília - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Sertãozinho - Marília	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
23.12.20	Portuguesa - Marília	3:2
20.12.20	Marília - Portuguesa	1:2

Portuguesa - Marília