Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)


	Botafogo SP		Marília

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.55
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.76	3.13	2.53
	2.66	3.24	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.34)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.46 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
34.3%

Draw
28.7%

Marília
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marília, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Botafogo SP - Marília Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marília is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista
30.08.22	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
27.08.22	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
22.08.22	Botafogo SP - Sertãozinho	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
21.08.22	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.22	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- Marília AC
Brazilian Copa Paulista
20.08.22	Marília - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Sertãozinho - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Marília - EC Noroeste	3:2 ✺
02.08.22	Marília - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Comercial SP - Marília	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
02.08.22	Marília - Botafogo SP	3:1

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