Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Caracas		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.15	2.68
	2.59	3.15	2.66
	2.62	3.19	2.71	Watch
	2.6	3	2.63
	2.51	3.04	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.42)	3.11 ↓ (3.32)	2.65 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caracas
35.9%

Draw
29.6%

Metropolitanos
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Caracas - Metropolitanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Caracas (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Caracas (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 7. Robert Hernandez 8. Gudino I. 33. Correa W. 10. Covea M. 17. Reinoso L. 27. Gonzalez S.	1. Yustiz Y. (G) 17. Valderrey E. 4. Ferro A. 6. Caricote Y. 19. Ramirez I. 8. Ayine G. 5. Sangiovani R. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 30. Navarro J. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
9. Fernandez A. 22. Figueroa A. 36. Gudino D. 15. Larotonda C. 35. Lezama R. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 19. Mago L. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.	99. Bianciotti A. 23. Diaz M. 21. Garces R. 13. Gimenez J. 36. Hernandez A. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 2. Manenti F. 29. Martinez N. 40. Nieves A. 90. Plana E. 11. Ramirez S.
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.	Stifano F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Yustiz Y. 🟨,
43', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Reinoso L. (A),
55', Robert Hernandez ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
64', Figueroa R. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
64', Gudino I. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
65', Reinoso L. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
67', Miku 🟨,
72', Gonzalez S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
72', Correa W. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
75', Valderrey E. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
84', Navarro J. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
84', Sangiovani R. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
90+1', Covea M. 🟨,
90+3', Fernandez A. 🟨,
90+6', Garces R. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3.

Caracas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metropolitanos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Caracas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

Tabla Anual

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metropolitanos	25	17	5	3	45:19	26	56
9	Caracas	24	5	11	8	24:31	-7	26

Last Results with these Odds

Caracas - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.03.26	Monagas - Caracas	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Caracas - Trujillanos	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Caracas - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTLW
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.03.26	Metropolitanos - Academia Anzoátegui	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Metropolitanos - Monagas	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Trujillanos - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 penalties
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.11.25	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:1
26.10.25	Metropolitanos - Caracas	2:3
Copa Venezuela
06.08.25	Metropolitanos - Caracas	2:2
29.07.25	Caracas - Metropolitanos	2:0
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.07.25	Metropolitanos - Caracas	2:3
03.02.25	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0

Upcoming Matches