The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Santista 31.7%
Draw 29.7%
Ferroviária 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
30.2%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
30.7%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Portuguesa Santista is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Ferroviária is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.