Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 6

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		Santo André

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.8
	2.02	2.88	3.75	Watch
	1.7	3.16	4.96
	1.67	3.22	5.62	Watch
	1.98	2.98	3.87
	2.04	3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	4.35 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
48.3%

Draw
30.5%

Santo André
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

31.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa Santista's performance.

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Portuguesa Santista - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Giba 🟥,
64', 1 - 0, Willian Daltro ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Jefferson Alves ⚽,

Preview

Portuguesa Santista is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santo André has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Portuguesa Santista might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa Santista won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Copa Paulista
13.07.25	Portuguesa Santista - São José-SP	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Taubaté - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	São Caetano - Portuguesa Santista	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Portuguesa Santista - Osasco Sporting	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Santo André - Portuguesa Santista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWWT
- Santo André
Brazilian Copa Paulista
14.07.25	Osasco Sporting - Santo André	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Santo André - São Caetano	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Santo André - São José-SP	0:4 ✺
20.06.25	Taubaté - Santo André	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Santo André - Portuguesa Santista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
14.06.25	Santo André - Portuguesa Santista	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	0:2
Brazilian Copa Paulista
20.08.23	Santo André - Portuguesa Santista	1:0
16.07.23	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	2:1

Portuguesa Santista - Santo André: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide