Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Portuguesa Santista U20		Grêmio Novorizontino U20

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.50	1.68
	4.2	3.4	1.68
	3.91	3.41	1.78
	4.09	3.56	1.76	Watch
	4.05	3.2	1.74
	4.49	3.83	1.68
	4.33	3.67	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (4.35)	3.51 ↓ (3.7)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista U20
21.5%

Draw
25.6%

Grêmio Novorizontino U20
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.2%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

23.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Grêmio Novorizontino U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista U20 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino U20 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Portuguesa Santista U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).

Portuguesa U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Novorizontino U20 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Novorizontino U20 for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	União Suzano U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Santos U20	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - São Bento U20	1:0 ✺
13.08.26	America SP U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Portuguesa Santista U20 - Sertãozinho U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW
- Grêmio Novorizontino U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Aguaí U20	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Osasco Sporting U20	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Portuguesa Santista U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide