Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Sporting Paulinense U20		Grêmio Novorizontino U20

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.40	1.70
	3.70	3.50	1.79
	3.99	3.36	1.77
	4.27	3.7	1.7	Watch
	3.95	3.30	1.75
	3.70	3.70	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Paulinense U20
22.8%

Draw
25.9%

Grêmio Novorizontino U20
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

25.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.7%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Paulinense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Grêmio Novorizontino U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Paulinense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sporting Paulinense U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 0 - 3, ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,
85', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Paulinense U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Novorizontino U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Novorizontino U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Novorizontino U20 is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Paulinense U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
20.08.26	São Paulo U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	CA Bandeirante U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - União São João U20	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Velo Clube U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Grêmio Novorizontino U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
22.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Osasco Sporting U20	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	São Caetano U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	0:3 ✺
31.07.26	EC São Bernardo U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWW

Sporting Paulinense U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide