Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Posta Rangers		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	4.45	2.98	1.82
	5.07	2.97	1.89
	5.89	3.39	1.61	Watch
	4.34	3.2	1.86
	4.5	3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (3.58)	3.11 ↑ (2.99)	1.81 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
19.1%

Draw
29.7%

AFC Leopards
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

30.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Posta Rangers's form might have worsened.

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Leopards's recent form is better than expected.

Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leopards (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Posta Rangers (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Posta Rangers (votes: 1 - 50%). Leopards (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Madada K. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Dwang J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 3.

Leopards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leopards is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Posta Rangers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
27.09.25	Posta Rangers - Tusker	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Posta Rangers - Naivas	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Naivas - Posta Rangers	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Posta Rangers - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWL
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
20.09.25	AFC Leopards - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Talanta - AFC Leopards	1:3 ✺
02.06.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Bandari - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
18.04.25	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	1:0
15.09.24	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	0:1
14.04.24	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	0:1
11.11.23	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	1:1
17.12.22	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	0:1
09.12.21	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	1:0
22.05.21	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	0:0

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