Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	AFC Leopards		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.98	4.75
	1.71	3.31	4.88	Watch
	1.81	2.99	4.66
	1.71	3.14	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	3.11 ↓ (3.31)	4.76 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Leopards
51.7%

Draw
29.2%

Mathare United
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

AFC Leopards - Mathare United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 4.

Leopards is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mathare United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mathare United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leopards is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
29.10.25	Shabana - AFC Leopards	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	AFC Leopards - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	AFC Leopards - Bandari	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	AFC Leopards - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTTT
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
30.10.25	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Kenya CB - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
14.05.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	3:1
18.01.23	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	2:1
20.01.22	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	3:1
23.06.21	Mathare United - AFC Leopards	1:0
27.05.21	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	1:0
22.12.19	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	3:0
Club Friendly
23.08.19	Mathare United - AFC Leopards	4:1

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