Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Sofapaka		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.95
	1.92	3.2	3.93
	2.10	3.12	3.37	Watch
	1.92	3.02	4.01
	2.01	3.02	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	3.7 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
46%

Draw
29.5%

Posta Rangers
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Sofapaka - Posta Rangers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Posta Rangers (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sofapaka will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Posta Rangers (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Dante ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Kuloba J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Posta Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sofapaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
05.11.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Nairobi United - Sofapaka	0:3 ✺
28.10.25	Sofapaka - Mara Sugar	2:2 ✺
15.10.25	Muranga Seal - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Sofapaka - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTWL
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	Police FC - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
30.10.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
15.10.25	Shabana - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.06.25	Posta Rangers - Sofapaka	1:2
19.01.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:1
17.09.23	Posta Rangers - Sofapaka	3:1
27.05.23	Posta Rangers - Sofapaka	1:2
26.11.22	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	0:0
21.05.22	Posta Rangers - Sofapaka	1:1
18.12.21	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	1:1

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