Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ulinzi Stars		Mara Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.62	2.45
	3.01	2.65	2.59
	3.04	2.75	2.5	Watch
	2.95	2.60	2.45
	3.01	2.70	2.46
	3.05	2.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.93)	2.68 ↓ (2.84)	2.5 (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulinzi Stars
30.1%

Draw
33.7%

Mara Sugar
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

32.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Mara Sugar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ulinzi Stars has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ulinzi Stars against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4:3	1	5
17	Ulinzi Stars	3	0	2	1	1:3	-2	2

Last Results with these Odds

Ulinzi Stars - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.21%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
18.10.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Ulinzi Stars - Tusker	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Posta Rangers - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWWL
- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
19.10.26	Mara Sugar - Mombasa United	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tusker - Mara Sugar	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Mara Sugar - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
22.02.26	Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars	2:1
05.10.25	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	1:2
04.05.25	Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars	1:1
12.01.25	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	1:0

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