Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 12

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Potiguar		Sousa

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.1
	3.25	2.95	2.2
	3.29	2.79	2.19
	3.35	2.97	2.21
	3.37	3.05	2.12
	3.25	2.95	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.8)	2.94 ↑ (2.76)	2.17 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potiguar
27.5%

Draw
30.8%

Sousa
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

32.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

34.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potiguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sousa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potiguar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sousa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Potiguar - Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Arua ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD Potiguar
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.24	Potiguar - América RN	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:2 ✺
16.06.24	Potiguar - Iguatu	0:0 ✺
13.06.24	Treze - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Potiguar - Treze	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTTLL
- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.24	Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0 ✺
27.06.24	América RN - Sousa	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Atlético Cearense - Sousa	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Sousa - Maracanã	3:2 ✺
09.06.24	Maracanã - Sousa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.05.24	Sousa - Potiguar	1:0
18.06.23	Sousa - Potiguar	1:1
06.06.23	Potiguar - Sousa	2:1

Potiguar - Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide