The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sousa 54.6%
Draw 26.4%
Santa Cruz de Natal 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
29%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
28.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sousa's performance.
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz de Natal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-21.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sousa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+19.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sousa - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sousa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Juninho Potiguar ⚽,
38', 🟥,
39', 1 - 1, Ian Augusto (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
Recent performances by Sousa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santa Cruz de Natal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sousa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
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