Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Maracaná (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Potros del Este		Deportivo Universitario

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.9	3	2.35
	2.8	3.15	2.56	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.4
	3.26	3.06	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.42)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.39 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Potros del Este
31.9%

Draw
29.7%

Deportivo Universitario
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potros del Este has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potros del Este's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Universitario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potros del Este than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potros del Este, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Universitario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Potros del Este - Deportivo Universitario Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Potros del Este will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). CD Universitario will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Potros del Este: 72.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sanchez M. (G) 6. Holness A. 13. Simmons V. 5. Hernandez I. (C) 8. Berguido R. 14. Ford R. 16. Barrera J. 17. Simmons V. 23. Galvez A. 9. Yau M. 99. Gallardo J.	1. Cao G. (G) 23. Chanis E. 3. Avila P. 26. Casazola M. 4. Dean L. 10. Moreno E. 14. Machacen E. 18. Acosta M. (C) 19. Simons J. 22. Walters B. 17. Edwards A.
Substitutes
20. McKenzie A. 11. Perez R. 1. Rivas L. (G) 52. Rivera O. 38. Roa J. 21. Williams J.	16. Betegon J. 9. Dinolis R. 99. Espinoza N. 12. Esquina J. (G) 7. Fruto A. 8. Guevara J. 20. Maltez U. 15. Saldana A. 21. Valencia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Walters B. ⚽,
42', Simmons V. ↓, Marmolejo M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Berguido R. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
58', Simmons V. 🟨,
59', Moreno E. ↓, Maltez U. ↑,
60', Walters B. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Simons J. ⚽,
67', Galvez A. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Yau M. ⚽,
78', Simons J. ↓, Espinoza N. ↑,
78', Casazola M. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
81', Gallardo J. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
81', Simmons V. ↓, Rivera O. ↑,
82', Dean L. ↓, Dinolis R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Guevara J. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Potros del Este won 4.

Recent matches Potros del Este is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CD Universitario is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Potros del Este could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Potros del Este won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:16 (average 1.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Potros del Este won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potros del Este
Liga Panamena de Futbol
21.03.25	Veraguas - Potros del Este	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Herrera - Potros del Este	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Potros del Este - San Francisco	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	UMECIT - Potros del Este	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Potros del Este - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLW
- Club Deportivo Universitario Panama
Liga Panamena de Futbol
22.03.25	Deportivo Universitario - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0 ✺
17.03.25	Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Plaza Amador - Deportivo Universitario	3:1 ✺
26.02.25	Deportivo Universitario - Tauro	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Deportivo Universitario - Árabe Unido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
26.08.24	Potros del Este - Deportivo Universitario	1:0
24.02.24	Deportivo Universitario - Potros del Este	1:3
10.09.23	Deportivo Universitario - Potros del Este	1:2
05.03.23	Potros del Este - Deportivo Universitario	4:0
27.08.22	Deportivo Universitario - Potros del Este	2:2
12.03.22	Potros del Este - Deportivo Universitario	2:0
16.10.21	Deportivo Universitario - Potros del Este	0:2

Upcoming Matches