The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Panama 43.6%
Draw 29.7%
Deportivo Universitario 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
28.5%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
29.5%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Deportivo Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Alianza Panama - Deportivo Universitario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 5. Campos O. (C) 16. Mitre R. 23. Marquinez J. 11. Spencer D. 18. Perdomo R. 22. Rodriguez M. 19. Vargas D. 13. Mendoza A. 26. Garces J. 28. Alvarado J.
12. De la Cruz A. (G) 2. Garcia J. 27. Anderson I. 3. Gamboa C. 6. Matos J. 25. De Los Rios A. 8. Clarke J. 17. Diaz J. 20. Maltez U. 10. Bernal J. 26. Gondola J.
Substitutes
17. Asprilla J. 51. Carvajal D. 15. Galvez A. 2. Landazuri F. 1. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 6. Marengo J. 3. Ortega Y. 8. Rangel G. 21. Tello E. 9. Walters B.
18. Acosta M. 23. Ampudia J. 1. Cao G. (G) 22. Edmund D. 31. Herrera R. 49. Jimenez R. 36. Quintero A. 43. Quintero Y. 24. Rangel R. 19. Simons J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Alvarado J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garces J. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
46', Vargas D. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
60', Matos J. 🟨,
66', Clarke J. 🟨,
68', Rodriguez M. ↓, Walters B. ↑,
74', Gondola J. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
74', De Los Rios A. ↓, Herrera R. ↑,
79', Mendoza A. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
81', Clarke J. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
90', Maltez U. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
90+1', Bernal J. ↓, Rangel R. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.
Alianza is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
CD Universitario has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alianza holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alianza has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:18 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 0.9:0.8 per game).
Mexico
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Gonzalez J. (G) 
Campos O. (C) 
Marquinez J. 
Cao G. (G) 
Jimenez R. 
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