Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Praiense		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.95
	3.4	3.05	2
	3.6	3.05	1.99
	3.94	3.22	2.03
	3.64	3.22	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.48)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Praiense
25.1%

Draw
29%

Sporting Lisbon B
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.8%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.7%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Praiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Praiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Praiense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting Lisbon B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Praiense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Praiense have a series of guest games.

Recently Sporting Lisbon B have a series of home games.

Sporting Lisbon B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Praiense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.01.21	Montijo - Praiense	4:0 ✺
11.01.21	Belenenses B - Praiense	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	Praiense - Oriental Dragon	2:0 ✺
20.12.20	Fontinhas - Praiense	2:1 ✺
10.12.20	Estrela da Amadora - Praiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWLL
- Sporting Lisbon B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Oriental	3:2 ✺
10.01.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Real SC	2:1 ✺
30.12.20	Montijo - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Fabril do Barreiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.10.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Praiense	2:0

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