Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Sporting Lisbon B		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	6.5
	1.35	4.5	7
	1.43	4.67	7.24
	1.39	4.45	7.1
	1.39	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	4.45 ↑ (3.7)	6.89 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
66.1%

Draw
20.6%

Real SC
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon B's performance.

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sporting Lisbon B - Real SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting B will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Real SC will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting B: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Real SC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting Lisbon B is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sporting Lisbon B won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Lisbon B won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
01.05.23	Oliveira Hospital - Sporting Lisbon B	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLT
- Real SC de Queluz
Portuguese Liga 3
01.05.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Real SC - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Setúbal - Real SC	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Oliveira Hospital - Real SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.04.23	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0
28.01.23	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1
08.10.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Real SC	1:0
24.04.22	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0
02.04.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Real SC	1:1
12.12.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Real SC	4:2
13.08.21	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0

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