Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 27

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Prato		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.6	3.15	2.45
	2.59	3.12	2.47
	2.65	3.2	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.94)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.44 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
34.3%

Draw
28.8%

Giana Erminio
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.9%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26.1%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giana Erminio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Prato - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Prato is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Giana Erminio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Prato won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Prato won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.02.23	Pistoiese - Prato	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Prato - Salsomaggiore	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Prato - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
25.01.23	AC Carpi - Prato	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Prato - Forlì	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTT
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.02.23	Giana Erminio - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	SantAngelo - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Giana Erminio - Salsomaggiore	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Mezzolara - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
09.10.22	Giana Erminio - Prato	3:0
Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.18	Prato - Giana Erminio	3:2
19.11.17	Giana Erminio - Prato	5:0
29.04.17	Prato - Giana Erminio	1:0
11.12.16	Giana Erminio - Prato	0:0

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