The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melbourne Knights 26.8%
Draw 25.9%
Green Gully 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
25.4%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
24.8%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Knights's form might have worsened.
Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Green Gully's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Green Gully, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Melbourne Knights - Green Gully Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Green Gully (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Green Gully will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Regague J. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Hope J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 3, Iannucci G. ⚽,
71', 0 - 4, Hope J. ⚽,
83', 1 - 4, Bramwell C. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Knights won 2.
Melbourne Knights has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Green Gully has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Green Gully may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Melbourne Knights has had a series of away games.
Green Gully is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Knights won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Knights won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.8:2.1).
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