Match Info

BRAZIL: Matogrossense - Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Antônio Santo Renosto (Primavera do Leste)


	Primavera AC		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.7	1.61
	4.7	3.5	1.66
	5.44	3.21	1.69	Watch
	5.33	3.44	1.61
	4.7	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.51)	3.47 ↓ (3.78)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primavera AC
18.5%

Draw
26.2%

Cuiabá
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.1%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

23.3%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primavera AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primavera AC than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Primavera AC - Cuiabá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Alves (G) 8. Borges D. 4. Brandao 20. Bryan Gabriel 2. Camargo 11. Danilinho 6. Dimitry 10. Giovanni 7. Natan Bahia 3. Octavio Assis 9. Savio Santos	14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 97. Andre Luis 3. Bruno Alves 27. Denilson 22. Derik Lacerda 44. Gabriel 70. Juan Christian 30. Lucas Mineiro 98. Matheusinho 33. Ruan Oliveira 6. Sander
Substitutes
23. Adilson (G) 17. Bruno Rosa 15. Da Ilha 12. Lucas Cardoso (G) 19. Mateus Alex 22. Pablo Gabriel 25. Pedro Liko 14. Rian 16. Ricardo Liell 24. Romulo Chagas 5. Sampson 18. Vinicius Leonel	1. Arthur (G) 55. Calebe Costa 20. David 77. Jadson 2. Leonardo Ataide 99. Lucas Cardoso 8. Max 4. Nathan 7. Pedrinho 40. Railan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ruan Oliveira ↓, Max ↑,
51', Bruno Alves 🟨,
58', Andre Luis ↓, Jadson ↑,
61', Juan Christian ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Romulo Chagas ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Bruno Alves ⚽,
70', Brandao 🟨,
75', Denilson 🟨,
83', Denilson ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Calebe Costa ⚽,
88', Lucas Cardoso 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Cuiabá is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Primavera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Primavera AC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.03.25	Mixto - Primavera AC	2:3 penalties ✺
10.03.25	Primavera AC - Mixto	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Primavera AC - Nova Mutum	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Primavera AC - Mixto	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Nova Mutum - Primavera AC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTWLW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.03.25	Cuiabá - Operário Ltda	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Operário Ltda - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	5:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Porto Velho - Cuiabá	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.02.25	União Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
20.01.24	Cuiabá - Primavera AC	1:1

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