Match Info

Prva liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Športni park Lendava (Lendava)

Referee: Matkovic A. (Slo)


	Nafta		Primorje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.15	2.92	Watch
	2.47	3.25	3.1
	2.4	3.21	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.33	2.97	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nafta
39.1%

Draw
29.6%

Primorje
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Primorje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Nafta - Primorje Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nafta will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Primorje will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erjavsek L. (G) 67. Bakti B. 98. Dragoner A. 29. Gorenc Stankovic T. 23. Kambic L. 24. Marinic J. 17. Marosa A. 18. Pihler A. (C) 2. Pirtovsek R. 33. Poredos L. 7. Zorica J.	30. Mohorovic P. (G) 88. Bagnack M. 6. Ficko J. 21. Jermol N. 28. Jovanovic S. 99. Kadric H. 4. Klemencic T. 7. Murillo R. 13. Petek G. 33. Strajnar M. 10. Zavnik M.
Substitutes
11. Jasaragic A. 41. Lavrencic K. 22. Nemeth E. (G) 8. Ogwuche M. 10. Pihler L. 90. Tavares M. 4. Verbic L.	2. Bameyi D. 8. Demirovic E. 3. Fogec M. 9. Gulic M. 22. Macan T. (G) 80. Mutavcic M. 11. Parmac M. 31. Rafiu I. 32. Rak N.
Coaches
Bozsik J.	Zlogar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Pirtovsek R. 🟨,
65', Zavnik M. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
71', Poredos L. ↓, Verbic L. ↑,
75', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
87', Murillo R. ↓, Rak N. ↑,
87', Bagnack M. ↓, Gulic M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Marosa A. ⚽,
90+4', Marosa A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 0.

Nafta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Primorje is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Primorje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nafta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Nafta: 1.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17:16	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Nafta - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.3%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.05.26	Primorje - Nafta	0:0 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
22.05.26	Nafta - Triglav	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Nafta	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Nafta - Beltinci	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Bilje - Nafta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWW
- ND Primorje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.05.26	Primorje - Nafta	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Primorje - Celje	0:4 ✺
16.05.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Primorje	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Primorje - Mura	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Primorje	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
27.05.26	Primorje - Nafta	0:0
19.04.25	Primorje - Nafta	2:2
21.02.25	Nafta - Primorje	2:2
26.10.24	Primorje - Nafta	1:1
10.08.24	Nafta - Primorje	0:3
Slovenian 2 SNL
16.03.24	Nafta - Primorje	2:0
02.09.23	Primorje - Nafta	3:0

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