The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Livorno Sorgenti 24.1%
Draw 27.1%
Fiorenzuola 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
28.1%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
20.4%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Livorno Sorgenti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Livorno Sorgenti's form might have worsened.
Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorenzuola's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Livorno Sorgenti than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).
Recent matches Pro Livorno is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fiorenzuola is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Pro Livorno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Pro Livorno have a series of guest games.
Recently Fiorenzuola have a series of home games.
Fiorenzuola will have a small advantage in this match.