Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pro Livorno Sorgenti		Trestina

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	4.25	3.8	1.62
	3.92	3.43	1.77
	3.75	3.6	1.73
	4.05	3.7	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.73)	3.61 ↑ (3.09)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Livorno Sorgenti
22.8%

Draw
25%

Trestina
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.2%

28.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Livorno Sorgenti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Livorno Sorgenti than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Trestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Pro Livorno is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trestina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pro Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trestina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pro Livorno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Livorno Sorgenti
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.02.22	Rieti - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Lornano Badesse	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	UniPomezia - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Cannara	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLWL
- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.02.22	Trestina - Poggibonsi	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	San Donato Tavarnelle - Trestina	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Trestina - Tiferno Lerchi	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Trestina	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
24.10.21	Trestina - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	1:2

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Trestina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Trestina Predictions

Preview

Form

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