Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 38

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SI Solo Calcio


	Folgore Caratese		Vigasio

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5.2
	1.55	3.75	5.31
	1.57	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	5.24 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
58.2%

Draw
24.5%

Vigasio
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Vigasio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Folgore Caratese - Vigasio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Folgore Caratese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs )

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Folgore Caratese is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Folgore Caratese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.04.25	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	3:2 ✺
17.04.25	Folgore Caratese - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Club Milano - Folgore Caratese	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Folgore Caratese - Crema	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- AC Vigasio
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.04.25	Vigasio - Pro Sesto	3:2 ✺
17.04.25	Desenzano Calvina - Vigasio	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Vigasio - Varesina	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	SantAngelo - Vigasio	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Vigasio - Breno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.24	Vigasio - Folgore Caratese	0:1

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