Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 32

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pro Sesto		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3	2.1
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	3.46	3.05	2.31
	3.46	2.98	2.31
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.26	3.08	2.15
	3.45	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (4.05)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.14 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
26.7%

Draw
30.1%

Triestina
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

29.1%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Triestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Pro Sesto - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Frate F. (G) 30. Toninelli D. 5. Marianucci L. 65. Giorgeschi S. 6. Poggesi A. 4. Gattoni T. 14. Poli A. 7. Sala A. 3. Maurizii E. 98. Bruschi N. 29. Toci E.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 42. Moretti L. 3. Malomo A. 33. Rizzo N. 38. Petrasso L. 4. Vallocchia A. 21. Fofana L. 14. Germano U. 18. Minesso M. 10. Lescano F. 8. El Azrak R.
Substitutes
10. Bahlouli M. 9. Basili D. 21. Bussaglia A. 19. Caverzasi D. 17. D'Alessio L. 80. Florio M. 12. Formosa S. (G) 77. Fornito G. 50. Iotti L. 11. Kristoffersen . J. 23. Mapelli F. 18. Palazzi A. 32. Sereni M.	22. Agostino G. (G) 6. Anzolin M. 28. Celeghin E. 13. Ciofani M. 15. Correia O. 40. Crosara M. 16. Diakite M. (G) 30. D'Urso C. 5. Gunduz T. 17. Jonsson K. 27. Ogliari H. 72. Pavlev D. 9. Redan D. 7. Struna Al. 99. Vertainen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Marianucci L. 🟨,
28', Marianucci L. ↓, Mapelli F. ↑,
34', Rizzo N. 🟨,
45+1', El Azrak R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Petrasso L. ↓, Anzolin M. ↑,
62', Poli A. ↓, Bussaglia A. ↑,
62', Bruschi N. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
64', El Azrak R. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
64', Fofana L. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
66', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
78', Giorgeschi S. ↓, Florio M. ↑,
79', Poggesi A. ↓, Bahlouli M. ↑,
82', Germano U. ↓, Ciofani M. ↑,
82', Lescano F. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Pro Sesto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Triestina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Triestina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Triestina is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.03.24	Renate - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Virtus Verona - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Pro Sesto - Trento	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Pro Sesto - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTWLL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
06.03.24	Fiorenzuola - Triestina	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Triestina - Legnago Salus	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lumezzane - Triestina	3:0 ✺
13.02.24	Triestina - Renate	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.23	Triestina - Pro Sesto	0:0
05.02.23	Triestina - Pro Sesto	0:2
09.10.22	Pro Sesto - Triestina	2:1
05.02.22	Triestina - Pro Sesto	2:3
29.09.21	Pro Sesto - Triestina	0:1

Pro Sesto - Triestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide