Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 25

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday


	Pro Sesto		Alessandria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.65	2.8
	2.65	2.75	2.95	Watch
	2.62	2.72	2.78
	2.78	2.66	3.11
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.6	2.7	2.84
	2.6	2.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.1)	2.7 ↓ (2.97)	2.88 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
34.6%

Draw
33.8%

Alessandria
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

24.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Sesto's form might have worsened.

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Pro Sesto - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pro Sesto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Alessandria will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Del Frate F. (G) 30. Toninelli D. 50. Iotti L. 5. Marianucci L. 7. Sala A. 21. Bussaglia A. 4. Gattoni T. 3. Maurizii E. 98. Bruschi N. 9. Basili D. 32. Sereni M.	1. Farroni A. (G) 6. Soler I. 17. Gega E. 32. Fiumano F. 23. Ciancio S. 8. Rota A. 4. Nichetti M. 3. Rossi E. 7. Gazoul M. 9. Siafa O. 29. Laukzemis K.
Substitutes
10. Bahlouli M. 17. D'Alessio L. 12. Formosa S. (G) 77. Fornito G. 65. Giorgeschi S. 11. Kristoffersen . J. 23. Mapelli F. 18. Palazzi A. 6. Poggesi A. 16. Poli 8. Santarpia P. 29. Toci E.	22. Barmaz 31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 20. Femia N. 79. Mangni D. 16. Parrinello T. 18. Pellegrini L. 14. Pellitteri A. 99. Samele L. 66. Sepe A. 33. Spurio A. (G)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Pro Sesto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alessandria has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pro Sesto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.24	Padova - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Novara - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Pro Sesto - Pro Vercelli	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Pro Sesto - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
18.02.24	Atalanta U23 - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Alessandria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lumezzane - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Alessandria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Padova - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Alessandria - Pro Sesto	0:2
11.04.21	Pro Sesto - Alessandria	0:1
20.12.20	Alessandria - Pro Sesto	1:1

Pro Sesto - Alessandria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide