Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 13

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday


	Progrès Niedercorn		Jeunesse Canach

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.35
	1.5	4.05	5.7
	1.49	4.27	5.55	Watch
	1.47	3.94	5.98
	1.48	3.75	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)	3.98 ↓ (4.13)	5.58 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
61%

Draw
22.8%

Jeunesse Canach
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Jeunesse Canach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Canach than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Alves Margato J. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 80. Avdusinovic K. 11. Gilgemann M. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 71. Hoxha F. 10. Natami O. 27. Peugnet V. (C) 37. Souchard T.	90. Martins R. (G) 6. Castro G. 22. Costa T. 7. Jun C. W. 98. Kuete Nsidjine D. 15. Laborie P. (C) 19. Mendes C. 11. Nico 9. Perkovic B. 16. Rouffignac B. 27. Sako T.
Substitutes
19. Bouche Y. 17. Camara M. 9. Chambon H. 1. Flauss S. (G) 33. Khadir A. 76. Nigro S. 7. Schmid J.	12. Amofa B. 93. Cafafa T. 10. Desevic A. 8. Jimmy 84. Nelsinho 1. Roulez V. (G) 23. Xavi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Rouffignac B. ⚽, Nico (A),
13', Laborie P. 🟨,
18', Castro G. 🟥,
29', Natami O. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Peugnet V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gilgemann M. ↓, Bouche Y. ↑,
46', Peugnet V. ↓, Schmid J. ↑,
46', Perkovic B. ↓, Jimmy ↑,
63', Ahmetxhekaj D. 🟨,
67', Costa T. ↓, Xavi ↑,
67', Hoxha F. ↓, Chambon H. ↑,
77', Souchard T. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
78', Ahmetxjekaj A. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Nico ⚽, Sako T. (A),
82', Nico ↓, Desevic A. ↑,
88', Natami O. 🟨,
88', Guett A. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', Nelsinho 🟨,
90+4', Avdusinovic K. ↓, Nigro S. ↑,
90+5', Martins R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Differdange 03 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
07.11.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
31.10.25	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Mamer - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTLW
- Jeunesse Canach
Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Jeunesse Canach - Käerjéng 97	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jeunesse Canach - UNA Strassen	3:3 ✺
26.10.25	Pétange - Jeunesse Canach	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Jeunesse Canach - Victoria Rosport	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Swift Hesperange - Jeunesse Canach	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
28.04.17	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	2:2
27.11.16	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	0:5
22.02.15	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	1:0
10.08.14	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2
13.04.14	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Canach	3:0
03.10.13	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0
07.04.13	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2

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