Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 12

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Joseph Philippart (Rodange)


	Rodange		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.35	1.44
	5.32	4.77	1.44	Watch
	6.02	4.33	1.42
	5.7	4.3	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (5.25)	4.44 ↓ (4.58)	1.44 (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodange
16.2%

Draw
20.5%

Progrès Niedercorn
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

19.8%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

19.1%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodange than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+2%)

Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Wolf H. (G) 19. Amiri D. 10. Bojic F. 21. Montantin Y. (C) 2. Monteiro Lima G. 5. Mortas P. 8. Muzhaqi M. 3. Peprah W. 6. Rakic L. 44. Skenderovic A. 16. Torres Y.	16. Alves Margato J. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 80. Avdusinovic K. 13. Cisse S. 23. Duarte C. 11. Gilgemann M. 26. Hend B. 71. Hoxha F. 10. Natami O. (C) 7. Schmid J.
Substitutes
26. Bumbar V. 48. Caradonna L. 4. Kouadio Y. 13. Lima Lizardo B. 30. Messuwe M. 31. Sabanovic E. (G) 11. Traore M. G.	19. Bouche Y. 17. Camara M. 9. Chambon H. 1. Flauss S. (G) 28. Guett A. 76. Nigro S. 37. Souchard T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Peprah W. 🟨,
39', Avdusinovic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Natami O. 🟨,
56', Hoxha F. 🟨,
65', Gilgemann M. ↓, Guett A. ↑,
69', Peprah W. ↓, Messuwe M. ↑,
71', Schmid J. ↓, Bouche Y. ↑,
80', Amiri D. ↓, Lima Lizardo B. ↑,
85', Bojic F. ↓, Traore M. G. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+1', Hoxha F. ↓, Chambon H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodange won 1.

Recent form of Rodange has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Progrès Niedercorn is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Progrès Niedercorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rodange has had a series of away games.

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rodange won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodange won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rodange 91
Luxembourg National Division
26.10.25	UNA Strassen - Rodange	5:0 ✺
05.10.25	Victoria Rosport - Rodange	0:1 ✺
01.10.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Rodange	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Swift Hesperange - Rodange	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	F91 Dudelange - Rodange	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
25.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Mamer - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Atert Bissen	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
08.03.25	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1
15.09.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	5:1
16.04.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:2
05.11.21	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1
24.02.21	Rodange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2
16.09.19	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:0
30.04.18	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:0

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