Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Mamer		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	6.19	4.54	1.45
	9.32	5.63	1.26	Watch
	6.84	4.4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.45 ↓ (7.87)	4.86 ↑ (4.83)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mamer
12.5%

Draw
19.2%

Progrès Niedercorn
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

19%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

18.1%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamer than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Mamer - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Schreiber M. (G) 17. Baillet B. 91. Fiorani A. 4. Freire N. 11. Jager M. (C) 49. Kerger K. 97. Montout L. 99. Rapaille L. 28. Schmit B. 10. Teles I. 6. Vialette H.	1. Flauss S. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 80. Avdusinovic K. 19. Bouche Y. 13. Cisse S. 23. Duarte C. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 71. Hoxha F. 10. Natami O. (C)
Substitutes
30. Agnoly M. 19. Badji D. 54. Biagui Y. 29. da Costa Batista D. 27. Maurice J. 20. Mendes Y. 1. Rao A. (G)	31. Alves Margato J. (G) 17. Camara M. 9. Chambon H. 11. Gilgemann M. 29. Oger M. 7. Schmid J. 37. Souchard T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Avdusinovic K. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Hend B. ⚽, Guett A. (A),
29', Baillet B. 🟨,
29', Duarte C. 🟨,
44', Hend B. 🟨,
45', Freire N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Cisse S. 🟨,
56', Kerger K. ↓, Biagui Y. ↑,
60', Bouche Y. ↓, Souchard T. ↑,
60', Hoxha F. ↓, Chambon H. ↑,
67', Avdusinovic K. 🟨,
69', Montout L. ↓, Mendes Y. ↑,
69', Fiorani A. ↓, da Costa Batista D. ↑,
70', Cisse S. 🟨,
72', Hend B. ↓, Gilgemann M. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Jager M. (Pen),
90+1', Ahmetxhekaj D. 🟨,
90+3', Natami O. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 4).

Mamer is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Progrès Niedercorn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mamer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mamer 32
Luxembourg National Division
05.10.25	UNA Strassen - Mamer	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Victoria Rosport - Mamer	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mamer - Pétange	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Mamer - Swift Hesperange	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Mamer - Differdange 03	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
05.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Atert Bissen	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mamer	1:2

Upcoming Matches