Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Montenegro	Arena Sport 10


	Progresso		Forlì

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.6	1.3
	7.71	4.63	1.31
	8.95	4.7	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.3 ↑ (7.1)	4.64 ↑ (4)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
10.9%

Draw
19.5%

Forlì
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

23.5%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

23.1%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forlì's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forlì, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Progresso - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Macri D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progresso won 1.

Progresso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forlì is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Progresso have a series of guest games.

In this match Forlì is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Progresso won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Progresso won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.24	Zenith Prato - Progresso	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	United Riccione - Progresso	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Imolese - Progresso	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Progresso - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Tuttocuoio - Progresso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.24	Forlì - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Forlì - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Tau Altopascio - Forlì	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Forlì - Corticella	5:0 ✺
22.09.24	Zenith Prato - Forlì	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
07.01.24	Forlì - Progresso	2:0
10.04.22	Progresso - Forlì	2:2
28.11.21	Forlì - Progresso	1:0
11.04.21	Forlì - Progresso	3:1
27.01.21	Progresso - Forlì	1:0
03.11.19	Forlì - Progresso	1:0

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