Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 8

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Zenith Prato		Progresso

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.79	3.38	4.77
	1.68	3.53	4.8	Watch
	1.6	3.25	5
	1.65	3.34	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.46)	3.36 ↑ (2.9)	4.85 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenith Prato
54.2%

Draw
27.1%

Progresso
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenith Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zenith Prato's performance.

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Progresso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenith Prato than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zenith Prato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Progresso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zenith Prato - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Maltoni E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 1, (Own goal),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenith Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
13.10.24	Zenith Prato - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Sammaurese - Zenith Prato	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Zenith Prato - Tau Altopascio	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Zenith Prato - Forlì	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	San Marino Calcio - Zenith Prato	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLT
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
13.10.24	United Riccione - Progresso	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Imolese - Progresso	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Progresso - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Tuttocuoio - Progresso	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL

Zenith Prato - Progresso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide