Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 24Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Imolese |
|
Progresso |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.82 |
2.58 |
|
 |
2.8 |
2.82 |
2.54 |
|
 |
2.8 |
2.91 |
2.55 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
2.63 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.78 |
2.82 |
2.51 |
|
 |
2.71 |
3.1 |
2.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.74) |
2.85 ↓
(3.05) |
2.54 ↑
(2.48) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Imolese
32.7% | Draw
31.7% | Progresso
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Imolese - Progresso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Rizzi M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 54', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 12).The current form of both teams is below expectations. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Imolese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).Including home matches between the teams, Imolese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group D | | | 12.10.25 | Progresso - Imolese | 0:1 | | 26.01.25 | Progresso - Imolese | 0:0 | | 28.09.24 | Imolese - Progresso | 1:0 | | 21.01.24 | Imolese - Progresso | 3:1 |
|
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