Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Progresso		Marignanese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3
	1.97	3.45	3.2
	1.99	3.56	3.27
	2	3.5	3
	2.06	3.4	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.74)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	3.16 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
45.1%

Draw
26.1%

Marignanese
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.8%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progresso's form might have worsened.

Marignanese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marignanese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progresso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marignanese than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marignanese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Serie D to Group A).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Progresso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Progresso will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.03.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Progresso	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Progresso - Prato	0:2 ✺
24.02.21	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Progresso - Real Forte Querceta	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Lentigione - Progresso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTT
- Marignanese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.03.21	Marignanese - Corticella	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Fiorenzuola - Marignanese	4:2 ✺
24.02.21	Marignanese - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Aglianese - Marignanese	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Rimini - Marignanese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLT

Progresso - Marignanese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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