Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Sasso Marconi		Progresso

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.3	3.1	2.82
	2.43	3.39	2.58	Watch
	2.23	3.02	3.11
	2.25	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.42)	3.07 ↓ (3.36)	2.94 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasso Marconi
39.7%

Draw
29.5%

Progresso
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

27.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Sasso Marconi - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Calabrese A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, ⚽,
66', 1 - 3, ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 2.

Recent form of Sasso Marconi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Progresso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.12.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Rovato Vertovese - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Lentigione - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLT
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.12.25	Progresso - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Progresso - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Correggese - Progresso	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Progresso - Tuttocuoio	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Pro Palazzolo - Progresso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
05.01.25	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	1:1
08.09.24	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	1:3
30.04.22	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	1:3
21.11.21	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	1:0
24.02.21	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	1:0
27.10.19	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	3:2

Sasso Marconi - Progresso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide