Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Progresso		Rovato Vertovese

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.41	3.01	2.89	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.9
	2.4	2.9	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.12)	2.91 ↓ (2.99)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
38.6%

Draw
31.1%

Rovato Vertovese
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Rovato Vertovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rovato Vertovese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Progresso - Rovato Vertovese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

Recent form of Progresso has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rovato Vertovese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Progresso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Progresso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.02.26	Imolese - Progresso	3:3 ✺
08.02.26	Progresso - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Desenzano Calvina - Progresso	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Progresso - Crema	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Tropical Coriano - Progresso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT
- Rovato Vertovese
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Rovato Vertovese - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tuttocuoio - Rovato Vertovese	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Rovato Vertovese - Lentigione	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Piacenza - Rovato Vertovese	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Rovato Vertovese - Correggese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
18.10.25	Rovato Vertovese - Progresso	0:0

Progresso - Rovato Vertovese