Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Progresso		Zenith Prato

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	2.95
	2.87	3.06	2.25
	2.38	3.05	3.07
	2.75	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.34)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	2.67 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
35.6%

Draw
30.1%

Zenith Prato
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Zenith Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progresso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenith Prato than the current prediction. (-5%)

Progresso - Zenith Prato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Longo S. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Falteri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Progresso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zenith Prato is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Progresso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Progresso won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.02.25	San Marino Calcio - Progresso	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Progresso - United Riccione	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Piacenza - Progresso	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Progresso - Imolese	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Pistoiese - Progresso	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTL
- Zenith Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.02.25	Zenith Prato - Corticella	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Zenith Prato - Sammaurese	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tau Altopascio - Zenith Prato	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Forlì - Zenith Prato	2:3 ✺
12.01.25	Zenith Prato - San Marino Calcio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.24	Zenith Prato - Progresso	1:1

Progresso - Zenith Prato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide