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Current Win Probability
Progrès Niedercorn 41.1%
Draw 24.6%
Käerjéng 97 34.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.4%
23%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
23.1%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progrès Niedercorn's form might have worsened.
Käerjéng 97 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Käerjéng 97's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progrès Niedercorn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Käerjéng 97 than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Käerjéng 97, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Gerson L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Kabungwe S. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Hadji S. ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 2.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Progrès Niedercorn holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Progrès Niedercorn has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:17 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Progrès Niedercorn against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Kaerjeng
11
7
0
4
30:19
11
21
7
Niedercorn
11
6
1
4
16:9
7
19
Last Results with these Odds
Progrès Niedercorn - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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