Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 30

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Puebla de la Calzada		Trujillo

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.59	3.65	5
	1.61	3.59	5.36
	1.61	3.66	5.18	Watch
	1.66	3.63	5.19
	1.59	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	5.16 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla de la Calzada
57.3%

Draw
25%

Trujillo
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

20.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Trujillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puebla de la Calzada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trujillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puebla de la Calzada - Trujillo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Puebla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trujillo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Puebla is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Puebla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.04.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Castuera - Puebla de la Calzada	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Pueblonuevo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Badajoz - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.1 TWLTT
- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.04.25	Trujillo - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Trujillo - Pueblonuevo	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Trujillo - CD Extremadura	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Jaraíz - Trujillo	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Trujillo - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.12.24	Trujillo - Puebla de la Calzada	0:1

Puebla de la Calzada - Trujillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide