Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Badajoz		Puebla de la Calzada

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	10.5
	1.2	5.8	11
	1.21	5.64	11.49	Watch
	1.23	5.4	9.9
	1.2	5.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)	5.68 ↑ (4.5)	10.78 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
75.5%

Draw
16.1%

Puebla de la Calzada
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Puebla de la Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Badajoz - Puebla de la Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Domingo Domingo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Badajoz is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Puebla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Badajoz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Puebla have a series of home games.

In this match Badajoz is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.03.25	Badajoz - Montijo	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	CD Extremadura - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Badajoz - Villafranca	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Badajoz - Moralo	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Arroyo - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWWW
- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Santa Amalia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.24	Puebla de la Calzada - Badajoz	0:1

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