Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Castuera		Puebla de la Calzada

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.17	3.25	3
	2.22	3.4	2.94
	2.2	3.38	2.96	Watch
	2.18	3.3	2.97
	2.17	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castuera
41.9%

Draw
27.6%

Puebla de la Calzada
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Castuera - Puebla de la Calzada Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Canero A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 🟥,
75', 🟥,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Puebla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Castuera will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.04.25	CD Extremadura - Castuera	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Arroyo - Castuera	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Castuera - Llerenense	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Olivenza - Castuera	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Castuera - Jerez	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LTWLW
- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.04.25	Pueblonuevo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Badajoz - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 LTTWL

Castuera - Puebla de la Calzada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide