Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Puente Genil		Cabecense

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.26	4.93	9.17
	1.24	5.08	9.34
	1.24	5.15	10.3
	1.25	5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.55)	5.07 ↑ (3.4)	9.47 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
72.6%

Draw
17.9%

Cabecense
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

26.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

25.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puente Genil's performance.

Cabecense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cabecense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabecense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Araiza A. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Araiza A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 0, Morillas J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Puente Genil is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Puente Genil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
28.03.24	Ceuta B - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Puente Genil - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
10.03.24	Córdoba B - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Puente Genil - Espeleño	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Gerena - Puente Genil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTTL
- CD Cabecense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
28.03.24	Cabecense - Pozoblanco	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Utrera - Cabecense	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Cabecense - Conil	1:4 ✺
03.03.24	Cartaya - Cabecense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Sevilla C - Cabecense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.11.23	Cabecense - Puente Genil	2:2
23.01.22	Cabecense - Puente Genil	2:0
03.10.21	Puente Genil - Cabecense	1:0
03.03.19	Cabecense - Puente Genil	3:1

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