Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Ceuta B		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.65	3.05	2.55
	2.64	3.09	2.59	Watch
	2.67	2.94	2.53
	2.65	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.1)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.53 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta B
34.2%

Draw
30.1%

Puente Genil
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Genil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceuta B - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Araiza A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, Perez M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceuta B won 2.

Ceuta B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Puente Genil is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puente Genil will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ceuta B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.03.25	La Palma - Ceuta B	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ceuta B - Conil	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Utrera - Ceuta B	4:3 ✺
01.03.25	Ceuta B - San Roque de Lepe	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Bollullos - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLLL
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.03.25	Utrera - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Puente Genil - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Tomares - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Puente Genil - Coria CF	4:0 ✺
09.02.25	Córdoba B - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.11.24	Puente Genil - Ceuta B	2:1
28.03.24	Ceuta B - Puente Genil	1:0
11.11.23	Puente Genil - Ceuta B	1:0
21.02.23	Puente Genil - Ceuta B	0:1
26.03.22	Ceuta B - Puente Genil	0:0
28.11.21	Puente Genil - Ceuta B	0:0

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