The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Golfito 45.6%
Draw 27.2%
Cariari Pococí 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
27%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
30.7%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Golfito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Cariari Pococí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Golfito than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Golfito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Puerto Golfito is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cariari Pococí is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Puerto Golfito will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Puerto Golfito won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Golfito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.