Match Info
Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 11Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Cariari Pococí |
|
Moravia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.30 |
3.25 |
2.60 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.25 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.33 |
2.54 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.56 |
2.99 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.25 |
2.50 |
|
 |
2.27 |
3.41 |
2.89 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.15) |
3.34 ↑
(3.25) |
2.71 ↓
(2.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cariari Pococí
39.4% | Draw
27.1% | Moravia
33.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Moravia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moravia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Cariari Pococí - Moravia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+1', 🟥,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th and 7th).Recent results have been tough for Cariari (last 5 matches: 1 win).Moravia has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Cariari may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cariari has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.
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