Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Pulpileño		El Palmar

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.92	4.45
	1.82	3.24	4.51	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.75
	1.75	3.1	4.86
	1.73	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	4.71 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pulpileño
50.9%

Draw
29.8%

El Palmar
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

31.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pulpileño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Pulpileño - El Palmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 0, Hernandez R. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pulpileño won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

El Palmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pulpileño is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pulpileño won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pulpileño won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pulpileno	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Pulpileño	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Pulpileño - Santomera	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Caravaca - Pulpileño	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pulpileño - Cieza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWLW
- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.12.25	El Palmar - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	UCAM Murcia B - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	El Palmar - Muleño	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.04.25	Pulpileño - El Palmar	1:0
01.12.24	El Palmar - Pulpileño	0:1
02.03.24	Pulpileño - El Palmar	1:0
15.10.23	El Palmar - Pulpileño	0:0
23.04.23	Pulpileño - El Palmar	1:2
18.12.22	El Palmar - Pulpileño	2:3
17.01.21	El Palmar - Pulpileño	0:0

Pulpileño - El Palmar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide