Match Info

Date: 2 December 2021, Thursday


	Pulpileño		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.45
	3.2	2.87	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3	2.2
	3.05	3.05	2.25
	3.42	2.7	2.23
	3.25	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.22	3.22	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (5.05)	3.01 ↓ (3.75)	2.27 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pulpileño
28.6%

Draw
30.8%

Castellón
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

24%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

19.4%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pulpileño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pulpileño's performance.

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pulpileño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+31.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pulpileño - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Castellón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castellón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Granada B - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Pulpileño - Marchamalo	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Deportivo Toledo - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Pulpileño - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Águilas - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTWWT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.21	Castellón - Betis B	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Algeciras - Castellón	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Castellón - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	San Fernando - Castellón	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Castellón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWWT

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