Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)

Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)


	Pumas Tabasco		Venados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.1
	1.96	3.4	3.55
	2.02	3.61	3.66
	2.15	3	3.2
	1.98	3.52	3.5
	1.96	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.25)	3.42 ↑ (3)	3.38 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
45.8%

Draw
26.9%

Venados
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pumas Tabasco's performance.

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	41.7%	8.3%

Pumas Tabasco - Venados Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Venados will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pumas Tabasco: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pumas Tabasco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.02.23	Pumas Tabasco - Celaya	0:1 ✺
17.02.23	Tapatío - Pumas Tabasco	3:1 ✺
13.02.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Pumas Tabasco	3:3 ✺
08.02.23	Pumas Tabasco - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Dorados - Pumas Tabasco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLTWW
- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.02.23	Venados - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Venados - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0 ✺
10.02.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	2:1 ✺
01.02.23	Venados - Raya2 Expansión	0:1 ✺
26.01.23	Atlético Morelia - Venados	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.08.22	Venados - Pumas Tabasco	2:0
25.01.22	Venados - Pumas Tabasco	2:2
22.09.21	Pumas Tabasco - Venados	1:1
26.03.21	Pumas Tabasco - Venados	0:2
03.11.20	Venados - Pumas Tabasco	1:3

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